Biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation for probabilistic safety assessment

doi:10.1007/s41365-017-0255-2

	Biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation for probabilistic safety assessment
	Pan, Xiao-Lei 1; Wang, Jia-Qun 2; Yuan, Run 2; Wang, Fang 2; Lin, Han-Qing 2; Hu, Li-Qin 2; Wang, Jin 2
	2017-07-01
发表期刊	NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNIQUES
摘要	Direct Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is a powerful probabilistic safety assessment method for accounting dynamics of the system. But it is not efficient at simulating rare events. A biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation is proposed to solve the problem in this paper. This method biases transition rates of the components by adding virtual components to them in series to increase the occurrence probability of the rare event, hence the decrease in the variance of MC estimator. Several cases are used to benchmark this method. The results show that the method is effective at modeling system failure and is more efficient at collecting evidence of rare events than the direct MC simulation. The performance is greatly improved by the biasing transition rate method.
文章类型	Article
关键词	Direct Monte Carlo Simulation Probabilistic Safety Assessment Biasing Transition Rate Method
WOS标题词	Science & Technology ; Technology ; Physical Sciences
DOI	10.1007/s41365-017-0255-2
关键词[WOS]	MONTE-CARLO ; COMPENSATORS ; OPTIMIZATION ; BLANKET
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
项目资助者	Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Special Projects of International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor(2015GB116000) ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA03040000 ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; Major/Innovative Program of Development Foundation of Hefei Center for Physical Science and Technology(2014FXCX004) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09) ; XXH12504-1-09)
WOS研究方向	Nuclear Science & Technology ; Physics
WOS类目	Nuclear Science & Technology ; Physics, Nuclear
WOS记录号	WOS:000402896500002
引用统计	被引频次：4[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.hfcas.ac.cn:8080/handle/334002/31960
专题	中国科学院核能安全技术研究所
作者单位	1.Univ Sci & Technol China, Hefei 230027, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Nucl Energy Safety Technol, Key Lab Neutron & Radiat Safety, Hefei 230031, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pan, Xiao-Lei,Wang, Jia-Qun,Yuan, Run,et al. Biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation for probabilistic safety assessment[J]. NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNIQUES,2017,28(7):1-6.
APA	Pan, Xiao-Lei.,Wang, Jia-Qun.,Yuan, Run.,Wang, Fang.,Lin, Han-Qing.,...&Wang, Jin.(2017).Biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation for probabilistic safety assessment.NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNIQUES,28(7),1-6.
MLA	Pan, Xiao-Lei,et al."Biasing transition rate method based on direct MC simulation for probabilistic safety assessment".NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNIQUES 28.7(2017):1-6.

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