The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province

HFCAS OpenIR

	The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province
其他题名	The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province
	Liu Shou 1; Wang Qi Xing 3; Nan Lei 3; Wu Chun Lin 4; Wang Zhao Fen 2; Bai Zhen Zhong 2; Liu Li 5; Cai Peng 1; Qin Si 1; Luan Rong Sheng 1
	2013
发表期刊	BIOMEDICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
ISSN	0895-3988
摘要	Objective This study was to investigate the HIV current situation in Liangshan prefecture, in order to predict prevalence and transmission trends.
其他摘要	Objective This study was to investigate the HIV current situation in Liangshan prefecture, in order to predict prevalence and transmission trends. Methods Region-specific population, behavior, serosurveillence, and policy/program data (from 1995 to 2010) were gathered from various local and national organizations and applied to the Asian Epidemic Model (AEM) and used to derive estimates of future HIV prevalence, epidemic trends, and outcomes of intervention strategies. Results The AEM projections for 2020 included increased number of people living with HIV (PLHIV; to 136 617), increased HIV prevalence (2.51%), and 8037 deaths from acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in this region. However, the overall HIV incidence rate (per 10 000) was projected to decline from 27 in 2015 to 22 in 2020, largely due to a predicted decrease in HIV infection rate (per 10 000) from 658 in 2013 to 621 in 2020 among intravenous drug users. In contrast, the cases of HIV infection per 10 000 was projected to increase from 420 in 2010 to 503 in 2020 among men who have sex with men, and from 8 in 2010 to 15 in 2020 among the general population. The predominant risk factor for HIV transmission over the next decade in Liangshan was casual sex. Community-based outreach strategies to reduce injected drug use and casual sex, and to promote condom use, were predicted as effective interventions to decrease HIV transmission. Conclusion Implementation of a comprehensive public health program, with targeting to the region-specific at-risk populations, will help tomitigate HIV/AIDS spread in Liangshan.
关键词	HIV EPIDEMIC SEX MEN CHALLENGES PATTERNS HIV/AIDS Asian epidemic model High-risk population Liangshan Prefecture
收录类别	CSCD
语种	英语
资助项目	[Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture CDC] ; [Sichuan Provincial CDC] ; [NCAIDS/STD] ; [China CDC]
CSCD记录号	CSCD:4895524
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.hfcas.ac.cn:8080/handle/334002/46134
专题	中国科学院合肥物质科学研究院
作者单位	1.四川大学 2.青海大学 3.Ctr Dis Control & Prevent Liangshan Prefecture, Xichang 615000, Sichuan, Peoples R China 4.中国科学院合肥物质科学研究院肿瘤医院 5.Ctr Dis Control & Prevent Sichuan Prov, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu Shou,Wang Qi Xing,Nan Lei,et al. The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province[J]. BIOMEDICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES,2013,26.
APA	Liu Shou.,Wang Qi Xing.,Nan Lei.,Wu Chun Lin.,Wang Zhao Fen.,...&Luan Rong Sheng.(2013).The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province.BIOMEDICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES,26.
MLA	Liu Shou,et al."The Changing Trends of HIV/AIDS in An Ethnic Minority Region of China: Modeling the Epidemic in Liangshan Prefecture, Sichuan Province".BIOMEDICAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 26(2013).